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BIS Quarterly Review, September 2017 Sonntag, 17. September 2017 - 21:14
17 September 2017
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The BIS Quarterly Review for September 2017: Strong outlook with low inflation spurs risk-taking
Remarks by Mr Claudio Borio, Head of the Monetary and Economic Department, and Mr Hyun Song Shin, Economic Adviser & Head of Research, at the media briefing on 15 September 2017.
International banking and financial market developments
Monetary policy came sharply back into focus in global financial
markets. In late June, market participants interpreted speeches by the
ECB President and the Bank of England Governor as possible signs of the
beginning of a broader-based tightening in major advanced economies
other than the United States. Long-run government bond yields jumped.
However, they soon softened in response to weak inflation data and
central bank statements that investors perceived as having a more dovish
tone. Moreover, low realised inflation led markets to ... More...
International bank claims continued to grow in the first quarter of
2017, led by 2.8% year-on-year growth of claims on the non-bank sector.
Year-on-year growth in interbank claims turned positive for the first
time since the first quarter of 2015. The stock of international debt
securities grew by 4.1% year on year in the second quarter of 2017, led
by increased net issuance from the non-bank sector. Growth in
euro-denominated credit to the non-financial sector outside the euro
area picked up, led by a 12.3% rise in bank loans in the year to ... More...
Statistical initiatives
The BIS regularly seeks to enhance its statistical offerings to
support monetary and financial stability analysis, in close coordination
with central banks and other national authorities and international
organisations. The exposure of economies to foreign currency risk is one
potential source of vulnerability that has received increased attention
in recent years, and the relevant data gaps are being addressed in the
second phase of the Data Gaps Initiative (DGI) endorsed by the G20
(BIS-FSB-IMF (2015), FSB-IMF (2017)). Concurrently with this issue of
the Quarterly Review, the BIS is expanding the data it publishes on
exchange rates, on the currency composition of cross-border positions
and on ... More...
Special features
What would balance sheets look like if the borrowing through FX
swaps and forwards were recorded on-balance sheet, as the functionally
equivalent repo debt is? We combine various data sources to estimate the
size, distribution and use of this "missing" debt and to begin to
assess its implications for financial stability. A key finding is that
non-banks outside the United States owe large sums of dollars
off-balance sheet through these instruments. The total is of a size
similar to, and probably exceeding, the $10.7 trillion of on-balance
sheet dollar debt. Even when this debt is used to ... More...
New cryptocurrencies are emerging almost daily, and many interested
parties are wondering whether central banks should issue their own
versions. But what might central bank cryptocurrencies (CBCCs) look like
and would they be useful? This feature provides a taxonomy of money
that identifies two types of CBCC - retail and wholesale - and
differentiates them from other forms of central bank money such as cash
and reserves. It discusses the different characteristics of CBCCs and
compares them with ... More...
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Macroprudential policies are designed to make financial crises less
likely or less severe. At the same time, they might also curb output
growth by affecting credit supply and investment. Using data for a panel
of 64 advanced and emerging market economies, this special feature
investigates empirically the effects of macroprudential policies on
long-run economic performance. We find that countries that more
frequently use macroprudential tools, other things being equal,
experience stronger and less volatile GDP growth. These effects are
influenced by each economy's openness and financial development.
Finally, we find that ... More...
Financing of investments through green bonds has grown rapidly in
recent years. But definitions of what makes a bond "green" vary. Various
certification mechanisms have evolved to allow more granularity as well
as continuity in assessment. Green bonds have been priced at issuance
at a premium on average relative to conventional bonds, but their
performance in the secondary market over time has been similar. A
relatively large share of green bonds are in sectors subject to
environmentally related credit risks. More consistent green bond
standards across jurisdictions could help to ... More...

